Modeling Carbon Trade with Satellite Approach and AI Technology: A Sustainable Solution for REDD+ Scheme in Indonesia

Authors

  • Haryono Haryono Universitas Bhayangkara Surabaya
  • Arief Rahman Universitas Bhayangkara Surabaya
  • Rifki Fahrial Zainal Universitas Bhayangkara Surabaya
  • Bagus Teguh Santoso Universitas Bhayangkara Surabaya
  • Budi Endarto Universitas Wijaya Putra Surabaya

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.58812/wsnt.v3i01.1804

Keywords:

Carbon Trade, REDD+, Satellite Technology, Artificial Intelligence

Abstract

The increasing urgency to mitigate climate change has intensified the need for effective carbon trading mechanisms, particularly under the REDD+ scheme. This study explores the potential of integrating satellite technology, Geographic Information Systems (GIS), and Artificial Intelligence (AI) to develop a sustainable carbon trade model tailored to Indonesia’s unique environmental and policy landscape. The research focuses on deforestation hotspots in Kalimantan, Sumatra, and Papua, leveraging high-resolution satellite imagery and machine learning algorithms for precise carbon stock estimation. Results indicate significant deforestation trends, with an average annual loss of 1.2% of forest cover and 320 million metric tons of carbon over the past decade. AI-powered predictive models achieved 92% accuracy in identifying deforestation hotspots and estimating carbon stocks, underscoring their utility in enhancing Monitoring, Reporting, and Verification (MRV) systems. Policy analysis highlights critical gaps in enforcement and community participation. This study proposes a scalable and transparent carbon trade model that aligns with REDD+ objectives, fostering equitable and sustainable climate solutions for Indonesia.

References

[1] K. Amri and S. Ningrum, “Sustainable Forestry Policy: Indonesia’s Adaptation in Supporting Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs),” in E3S Web of Conferences, EDP Sciences, 2025, p. 3005.

[2] A. Anto, F. A. Mappasere, J. Usman, and A. Alyas, “Strategi Kebijakan Konservasi Hutan Tropis Indonesia Untuk Mengatasi Perubahan Iklim: Sebuah Literatur Review,” J. Ilmu Sos. dan Ilmu Polit., vol. 13, no. 3, pp. 521–533, 2024.

[3] Hermudananto, E. P. Belair, H. Hasbillah, P. W. Ellis, Ruslandi, and F. E. Putz, “Potential Reductions in Carbon Emissions from Indonesian Forest Concessions Through Use of Reduced-Impact Logging Practices,” Forests, vol. 15, no. 12, p. 2198, 2024.

[4] Rosmini, Sukartiningsih, and P. Erwinta, “Legal Policy Strategies for Preserving Tropical Forests in IKN in the Context of Climate Change,” Int. J. Relig., vol. 5, no. 11, pp. 3891–3896, 2024, doi: 10.61707/rfan6a93.

[5] S. Sama, “Strengthening the Role of Forests in Climate Change Mitigation through the European Union Forest Law Enforcement, Governance and Trade Action Plan,” J. Envtl. L. Pol’y, vol. 1, p. 1, 2021.

[6] G. Ali, M. M. Mijwil, I. Adamopoulos, and J. Ayad, “Leveraging the Internet of Things, Remote Sensing, and Artificial Intelligence for Sustainable Forest Management,” Babylonian J. Internet Things, vol. 2025, pp. 1–65, 2025.

[7] A. Meineche, “Climate-Aware Machine Learning for Above-Ground Biomass Estimation,” Geoforum Perspekt., vol. 23, no. 44, p. 14, 2024.

[8] M. I. Keskes and M. D. Nita, “Developing an AI Tool for Forest Monitoring: Introducing SylvaMind AI,” Bull. Transilv. Univ. Brasov. Ser. II For. Wood Ind. Agric. Food Eng., vol. 17, no. 2, pp. 39–54, 2024.

[9] R. Dave, C. Kaunert, and B. Singh, “Wildlife and Forest Resource Management With Artificial Intelligence,” in Machine Learning and Internet of Things in Fire Ecology, IGI Global Scientific Publishing, 2025, pp. 301–324.

[10] A. M. Abubakar, I. A. Zakarya, M. Hasnain, Z. M. Sarkinbaka, K. C. Mukwana, and A. Abdo, “Potential Breakthroughs in Environmental Monitoring and Management,” in Harnessing AI in Geospatial Technology for Environmental Monitoring and Management, IGI Global Scientific Publishing, 2025, pp. 239–282.

[11] A. Gatto and E. R. Sadik-Zada, “REDD+ in Indonesia: An assessment of the international environmental program,” Environ. Dev. Sustain., pp. 1–16, 2024.

[12] C. Bongso, “INDONESIA-NORWAY COOPERATION: EFFICACY IN REDUCING EMISSIONS FROM DEFORESTATION AND DEGRADATION (2010-2022),” Indones. J. Int. Relations, vol. 8, no. 2, pp. 353–374, 2024.

[13] I. Syafitri, N. F. Tanjung, and D. G. Purbaningrum, “Pelaksanaan Program REDD+ di Kalimantan Timur,” AL-MIKRAJ J. Stud. Islam dan Hum. (E-ISSN 2745-4584), vol. 5, no. 01, pp. 1161–1178, 2024.

[14] L. Qiu, Z. Chang, X. Luo, S. Chen, J. Jiang, and L. Lei, “Monitoring Forest Disturbances and Associated Driving Forces in Guangdong Province Using Long-Term Landsat Time Series Images,” Forests, vol. 16, no. 1, p. 189, 2025.

[15] C. W. Rawarkar and S. Agrawal, “Analyzing the Role of Machine Learning and Satellite Image Processing in Predicting Deforestation,” in 2024 2nd DMIHER International Conference on Artificial Intelligence in Healthcare, Education and Industry (IDICAIEI), IEEE, 2024, pp. 1–6.

[16] Z. Khafizova, U. Mukhtarov, and K. Nodira, “Study of using GIS technologies in forestry cadastre and monitoring for environmental sustainability,” in IOP Conference Series: Earth and Environmental Science, IOP Publishing, 2024, p. 12006.

[17] J. Dutta, S. Medhi, M. Gogoi, L. Borgohain, N. G. A. Maboud, and H. M. Muhameed, “Application of Remote Sensing and GIS in Environmental Monitoring and Management,” in Remote Sensing and GIS Techniques in Hydrology, IGI Global, 2025, pp. 1–34.

[18] P. B. May and A. O. Finley, “Calibrating satellite maps with field data for improved predictions of forest biomass,” Environmetrics, vol. 36, no. 1, p. e2892, 2025.

[19] C. N. Reddy, “Exploring Advanced Techniques in Artificial Intelligence for Environmental Monitoring and Climate Change Management,” vol. 7, no. 1, pp. 1–13, 2025.

[20] M. Milutinović, “MACHINE LEARNING IN ENVIRONMENTAL MONITORING,” Facta Univ. Ser. Work. Living Environ. Prot., pp. 155–160, 2024.

[21] F. D. Mobo, A. L. R. Garcia, and K. Miłek, “Leveraging AI for Real-Time Environmental Monitoring: Innovations and Impacts,” in Harnessing AI in Geospatial Technology for Environmental Monitoring and Management, IGI Global Scientific Publishing, 2025, pp. 201–212.

[22] B. K. Hackenberger, T. Djerdj, and D. K. Hackenberger, “Advancing Environmental Monitoring through AI: Applications of R and Python,” 2025.

[23] C. Huntingford, E. S. Jeffers, M. B. Bonsall, H. M. Christensen, T. Lees, and H. Yang, “Machine learning and artificial intelligence to aid climate change research and preparedness,” Environ. Res. Lett., vol. 14, no. 12, p. 124007, 2019.

[24] S. Illarionova, P. Tregubova, I. Shukhratov, D. Shadrin, A. Efimov, and E. Burnaev, “Advancing forest carbon stocks’ mapping using a hierarchical approach with machine learning and satellite imagery,” Sci. Rep., vol. 14, no. 1, p. 21032, 2024.

[25] N. Shanmugapriya, A. Bostani, A. Nabavi, D. Sasikala, T. Elangovan, and K. S. Adilovna, “Synergizing remote sensing, geospatial intelligence, applied nonlinear analysis, and AI for sustainable environmental monitoring,” Commun. Appl. Nonlinear Anal., vol. 31, no. 6S, pp. 281–292, 2024.

[26] M. Weber, C. Beneke, and C. Wheeler, “Unified deep learning model for global prediction of aboveground biomass, canopy height and cover from high-resolution, multi-sensor satellite imagery,” arXiv Prepr. arXiv2408.11234, 2024.

[27] A. Causevic, S. Causevic, M. Fielding, and J. Barrott, “Artificial intelligence for sustainability: opportunities and risks of utilizing Earth observation technologies to protect forests,” Discov. Conserv., vol. 1, no. 1, p. 2, 2024.

Downloads

Published

2025-03-28

How to Cite

Modeling Carbon Trade with Satellite Approach and AI Technology: A Sustainable Solution for REDD+ Scheme in Indonesia (H. Haryono, A. . Rahman, R. F. . Zainal, B. T. . Santoso, & B. . Endarto , Trans.). (2025). West Science Nature and Technology, 3(01), 61-67. https://doi.org/10.58812/wsnt.v3i01.1804